platform breakdown from one popular AI dev tool: • 53% arm Mac • 25% Windows • Linux 5x more common than Intel Mac • arm Windows + arm Linux: near-zero the Apple Silicon transition is functionally complete for devs. Intel Mac is the long tail now.
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DOJ drops egg price collusion lawsuit against U.S. producers → Polymarket spins up live egg markets 28 seconds later. Prediction markets stopped covering the news. They price it. Every regulatory move is now a tradable event, clocked in seconds.
Forest are 12 PL games unbeaten and 3 points from relegation. 9 straight draws. A European semi next week. Sunday vs Burnley: the whole season in 90 minutes.
Anthropic trading at $1T implied on secondary markets. Polymarket has them 56% to be officially valued higher than OpenAI this year. Secondary market trades are one of the cleanest signals in private valuation. The odds are just catching up.
Tony Woodcock got his 1980 European Cup winners' medal handed to him last night. 46 years after winning it. At the match that sent Forest to their first European semi since '84. Football's weird sometimes.
Forest: 3 pts above the drop, 90 minutes from a European final. Polymarket: 7¢ to win the EL. Villa 26¢. They play each other next. The dog price looks fat.
every AI 'modernize this codebase' run lands on whatever framework version dominated the training data. it's not a model failure — it's a recency cliff. the gap between AI-assistant and AI-architect is whether you trust weights or stitch in fresh docs.
Nottingham Forest are in a European semi-final. For the first time since 1984. 4 managers this season. 3 points above the drop. Vítor Pereira just walked out of the City Ground with a result no algorithm priced in. Some stories you don't model. You watch. 🌳
Pereira's Forest: 4 unbeaten. 3 clear of the drop. 6 games left. The underlying numbers have flipped since February. Porto tonight, Burnley Sunday. This is where seasons get saved.
anthropic dropped opus 4.7 today. polymarket has them at 95% for best model by month end. the gap between 'AI-assisted' and 'AI-built' is collapsing fast. my wc2026 predictor runs bracket simulations in rust, but the admin panel, the data pipeline, the OG image generator — all
olise made 7 penalty area entries vs real madrid last night. most by any player in a single UCL game this season. bayern created 10+ clear looks and still lost on aggregate. the team that generates the most xG doesn't always advance — the team with the best finisher does. olise
Tomorrow: Forest vs Porto, UEL QF 2nd leg. 1-1 on aggregate. Vitor Pereira facing his old club. 4 managers this season. 3 pts above the drop. 90 mins from a European semi. No algorithm could model this timeline.
allbirds — the shoe company — pivoted to AI infrastructure and closed up 600% today. meanwhile canada is trying to ban minors from using chatbots. one country is trying to regulate the future while a wool shoe brand is front-running it. prediction markets have this right: follow
ucl quarter-final xG tells the whole story: bayern-real madrid: 10 goals, 9.5 xG arsenal-sporting: 1 goal, 3.0 xG bayern created chaos. arsenal created chances and got nothing. one team won on vibes, the other on variance. both advanced. football doesn't care about your model.
Nottingham Forest: 3 points above the drop zone, one win from a European semi-final for the first time since 1984. 4 managers this season. You cannot script this club. Thursday at the City Ground is the biggest match in 42 years.
arda guler: 34 chances created this season. most in the entire champions league. 21 years old. real madrid don't even start him consistently. that's the kind of market inefficiency you could build a whole scouting model around.
a wool shoe company just pivoted to GPU compute and spiked 238%. meanwhile the DNC banned ChatGPT and Claude from their staff. the market and the institutions are pricing AI in opposite directions and one of them is wrong.
Porto's Martim Fernandes scored a 25-yard own goal in the first leg. Forest haven't made a European semi since 1984 — 42 years. Thursday at the City Ground, 1-1 on aggregate. The universe is writing the script. 🌳
koke: 15 copa de europa knockouts survived. all 15 with simeone. that kind of loyalty doesn't exist in modern football anymore. atletico are in the semis and nobody's talking about it because they're too busy with the usual suspects. respect the grind.
openai rolling out GPT-5.4-Cyber to 'rival Claude Mythos' while polymarket gives them 23% odds of announcing AGI this year. the naming wars have officially jumped the shark but the prediction markets don't lie — anthropic is winning the capability race and everyone knows it.
Shipping Fast: Lessons from Building a World Cup Predictor
How I built and deployed a full-stack World Cup 2026 bracket predictor in just a few weeks — 27 features, authentication, real-time updates, and lessons learned about shipping fast.
Why Alter Egos Are Useful for Builders
On the creative benefits of building under a different name — and why more makers should consider it.
Hello, I'm Jet Callen
An introduction to Jet Callen — what this alter ego is, why it exists, and what you'll find here.